California
W-L: ( 6- 6) PR = 75.5369Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A Oregon St P12 ( 2-10, 65.4) 34-15 906 H Texas So 35- 3 913 H Minnesota B10 ( 7- 5, 78.6) 27-14 920 A San Diego St MIDW ( 8- 4, 77.7) 0-34 927 A Boston Col ` ACC ( 3- 9, 72.8) 24-28 1004 H Duke ACC ( 8- 5, 82.2) 21-45 1017 H UNC ACC ( 5- 7, 75.9) 21-18 1024 A Va Tech ACC ( 2-10, 72.4) 34-42 1101 H Virginia ACC (10- 3, 84.4) 21-30 1108 A Louisville ACC ( 8- 5, 84.2) 29-26 1122 A Stanford ACC ( 4- 8, 76.3) 10-31 1129 H SMU ACC ( 8- 4, 85.3) 38-35
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 A Oregon St 34-15 19 7 +++ 6.52
913 H Minnesota 27-14 13 0 +++ 13.36
920 A San Diego St 0-34 -34 -5 --- -9.17
927 A Boston Col ` 24-28 -4 0 -- -4.09
1004 H Duke 21-45 -24 -4 --- -10.00
1017 H UNC 21-18 3 2 0.74
1024 A Va Tech 34-42 -8 0 --- -8.46
1101 H Virginia 21-30 -9 -6 - -2.79
1108 A Louisville 29-26 3 -11 +++ 14.37
1122 A Stanford 10-31 -21 -3 --- -10.53
1129 H SMU 38-35 3 -7 +++ 10.04
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 A San Diego St 0-34 -34 -5 --- -9.17 1004 H Duke 21-45 -24 -4 --- -10.00 1024 A Va Tech 34-42 -8 0 --- -8.46 1122 A Stanford 10-31 -21 -3 --- -10.53 927 A Boston Col ` 24-28 -4 0 -- -4.09 1101 H Virginia 21-30 -9 -6 - -2.79 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 830 A Oregon St 34-15 19 7 +++ 6.52 913 H Minnesota 27-14 13 0 +++ 13.36 1108 A Louisville 29-26 3 -11 +++ 14.37 1129 H SMU 38-35 3 -7 +++ 10.04 |
California Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Clemson | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Florida St | |
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Louisville | California | California | ||
| Miami | Miami | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Miami | |
| UNC | California | California | ||
| NC St | NC St | NC St 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Pittsburgh | |
| SMU | California | California | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Syracuse | California | California 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Va Tech | Va Tech | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Charlotte | California | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | California | |
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Fla Atlantic | California | California | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | No Texas | ||
| Rice | California | California | ||
| So Florida | So Florida | So Florida | ||
| Temple | California | California | ||
| Tulane | Tulane | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tulane | |
| Tulsa | California | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | California | |
| UAB | California | California | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | BYU | |
| Baylor | Baylor | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Baylor | |
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Houston | |
| Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | ||
| Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | California | California | ||
| TCU | TCU | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | TCU | |
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas Tech | |
| UCF | California | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | California | |
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | We Virginia | We Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Illinois | |
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Iowa | |
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Minnesota | California | California | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Nebraska | |
| Northwestern | Northwestern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Ohio St | Ohio St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ohio St | |
| Oregon | Oregon | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Oregon | |
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | California | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | California | |
| Rutgers | Rutgers | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Rutgers | |
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Wisconsin | |
| Florida Intl | California | California | ||
| Jacksonv. St | California | California | ||
| Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | ||
| Liberty | California | California | ||
| La Tech | California | California | ||
| Middle Tenn | California | California | ||
| NM St | California | California | ||
| SHouston St | California | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | California | |
| UTEP | California | California | ||
| We Kentucky | California | California | ||
| UMass | California | California | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| UConn | UConn | UConn 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Akron | California | California | ||
| Ball St | California | California | ||
| Bowl. Green | California | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | California | |
| Buffalo | California | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | California | |
| Cen Michigan | California | California | ||
| Ea Michigan | California | California | ||
| Kent State | California | California | ||
| MiamiOH | California | California | ||
| No Illinois | California | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | California | |
| Ohio | California | California | ||
| Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| We Michigan | We Michigan | We Michigan | ||
| Air Force | California | California | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Boise State | |
| Colorado St | California | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | California | |
| Fresno St | California | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | California | |
| Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Nevada | California | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | California | |
| New Mexico | New Mexico | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Mexico | |
| San Diego St | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| San Jose St | California | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | California | |
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | ||
| Wyoming | California | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | California | |
| Oregon St | California | California | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Wash St | |
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Kentucky | |
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | So Carolina | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | So Carolina | |
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Vanderbilt | |
| App St | California | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | California | |
| Arkansas State | California | California | ||
| Coastal Car | California | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | California | |
| Georgia So | California | California | ||
| Georgia St | California | California | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | J Madison | |
| Louisiana | California | California | ||
| Marshall | California | California | ||
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Old Dominion | |
| So Miss | California | California | ||
| So Alabama | California | California | ||
| Texas State | California | California | ||
| Troy | California | California | ||
| La-Monroe | California | California | ||
| Delaware | California | California | ||
| Missouri St | California | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | California |
PowerWise = 55
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.13
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Oregon St ( 2-10, 65.4) 34-15 -34.51 12.64 2.67 1.10 33.77
0 H Minnesota ( 7- 5, 78.6) 27-14 -21.33 25.82 -2.67 1.10 51.06
0 A San Diego St ( 8- 4, 77.7) 0-34 -22.21 24.94 2.67 1.10 -10.77
0 A Boston Col ` ( 3- 9, 72.8) 24-28 -27.13 20.02 2.67 1.10 -13.49
0 H Duke ( 8- 5, 82.2) 21-45 -17.69 29.46 -2.67 1.10 -11.23
0 H UNC ( 5- 7, 75.9) 21-18 -23.95 23.20 -2.67 1.10 45.27
0 A Va Tech ( 2-10, 72.4) 34-42 -27.50 19.65 2.67 1.10 -13.69
0 H Virginia (10- 3, 84.4) 21-30 -15.48 31.67 -2.67 1.10 -10.01
0 A Louisville ( 8- 5, 84.2) 29-26 -15.67 31.48 2.67 1.10 75.34
0 A Stanford ( 4- 8, 76.3) 10-31 -23.56 23.59 2.67 1.10 -11.52
0 H SMU ( 8- 4, 85.3) 38-35 -14.64 32.51 -2.67 1.10 65.80
------
200.55
|
winning pts = 271.2531 losing points = -70.7072
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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